Sports

NFL MVP, Super Bowl futuristic clock


How quickly things can change. A great week by Patrick Mahomes in the Chiefs’ raid victory over the Raiders, and struggled by brave cat in Tampa Bay’s shock loss to Washington that rocked both the NFL’s MVP race and Super Bowl odds.

Here’s an updated look at how things go into Week 11.

MVP . option

To be Patrick Mahomes Set us up for an impressive MVP? With a classic performance of 406 passes and five unimpeded touches on Sunday night, Mahomes lifted the captain to first place in the AFC West. However, for betting, brake a bit.

Mahomes was spectacular, but the Raiders’ defense was to blame. Plus, he needs to show a lot more consistency and Kansas City has to string on many more wins for me to get really serious about backing him on the counter to beat the other quarterbacks.

However, it is worth noting that his odds dropped from 60-1 to 25-1. Team leaders host Cowboys this Sunday and we’ll learn a lot about both Mahomes and Dak Prescott (+700).

However, the other midfielders continued to struggle. Just a few days after becoming a new betting fanatic, brave cat (+450) threw two interceptions and the Bucs resented Washington. Josh Allen (+250) became a betting favorite on Monday after he bounced back from Buffalo’s upset loss to Jacksonville with a resounding win over the Jets. Although I think he is qualified to win this award, I cannot support him with such low odds.

Aaron Rodgers (+1000) seems to be the best play this week. Basically, he’s as active as ever. Also, Green Bay looked weak in a match he missed. I think his handling of vaccination status will cost him the vote, but if the Packers take out the NFC’s first seed, the incumbent MVP will have a strong case.

Favorite MVP

Josh Allen +250
brave cat +450
Dak Prescott +700
Matthew Stafford +700
Kyler Murray +1000
Aaron Rodgers +1000
Lamar Jackson +1100
Justin Herbert +2000
Patrick Mahomes +2500
Ryan Tannehill +5000
Joe Burrow +6000

Super Bowl option

To a certain extent, we have to remember the Titans. Tennessee has the best record of the AFC, and they expect the star to return Derrick Henry back to the knockout round. Tennessee only went 5-1 to win the convention and 11-1 to win the Super Bowl. I’m not ready to pull the trigger yet, but I certainly feel silly to continue to dismiss them.

Packers (+900) remain undervalued. While Rodgers commands a lot of attention, and fully deserves it, the defense feels like the difference-maker. It ranks in the top three for points allowed, yards allowed, yards allowed per play, yards allowed per attempt and opponent passerby rating. Maybe we’re all conditioned to skip the Pack because Rodgers has only won one Super Bowl. However, I blame Mike McCarthy for those failures, and this year’s excuse is justifiable.

Do we believe in the Patriots (+2500)? ESPN’s FPI ranks them as the second strongest team of the AFC, with AFC East foe Buffalo as the top team. New England won and included four consecutive games, while rookie Mac Jones continues to look more comfortable and productive with each passing week. The defense speaks for itself. Bill Belichick was the mastermind, and Prescott was the only quarterback who actually played well in 10 New England games.

They are firing on all cylinders, but I wonder about their ceiling. I believe Belichick will plan well against limited midfielders like Baker Mayfield, but what happens when they face an elite team? It may not matter as AFC is currently inferior to NFC. We’ll learn a lot in December when they face the Bills twice, but I can’t blame anyone for a Pats future right now.

Colts (+6000) is actually quite attractive. They lost big losses to Tennessee, and we know Carson WentzThe shortcomings are all too good, but the upside is there for a wild card run. Indy’s defense is as good as anyone, and offensive ability, thanks to Jonathan Taylor. I bet worse than Indy at 30-1 to win the AFC.

Super Bowl Future

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +600
Buffalo Bills +600
Los Angeles Rams +750
Green Bay Packers +900
Dallas Cowboys +1000
The Arizona Cardinals +1000
Tennessee Titans +1100
Chief of Kansas City +1100
Baltimore Raven +1300
New England Patriots +2500
Los Angeles charger +2800
Cleveland Browns +4000

More awards to see

  • Mike Vrabel (+400) is understandably the new favorite for Coach of the Year. Tennessee ran amazingly, and he would be credited without Derrick Henry. According to FPI, the Titans have the easiest schedule left of the tournament, and that bodes well for Vrabel’s chances. However, I still insist Belichick (+1200) is right there with him, and his odds are much more favorable. The narrative plays a huge role in voting. Belichick will get all the credit if the Pats continue to be successful, but Vrabel will be hard to beat.

  • The captain is -110 favorites to win the AFC West. It’s hard to avoid being a prisoner at this point, but Kansas City certainly gave you a lot of confidence on Sunday night in Las Vegas. KC hosts Dallas this Sunday before saying goodbye and then hosting the Raiders and Broncos. This was followed by a visit to the Chargers in a virtual must-win match, as they lost in the home meeting. I think the Chiefs are worth playing right now.

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