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WHO Estimates of India’s Deaths “Ridiculous, Unresolvable”

WHO India Covid: India has strongly denied that WHO uses a mathematical model to calculate mortality.

New Delhi:

The World Health Organization (WHO) report on 4.7 million Covid deaths “excessive” in India does not have any “logic or fact”, the head of the country’s Covid Working Group This said today, calling the report “disturbing”.

Speaking to NDTV this morning, Dr NK Arora, Head of India’s Covid Working Group, said that although there could be a 10-20% difference, India’s robust and accurate death registration system Degree (known as the Civil Registry System, or CRS) ensures that the majority of virus-related deaths are covered.

In a report released on Thursday, WHO says from January 2020 to December 2021, there are 4.7 million “excess” Covid deaths in India – a maximum of 10 times the official figures and almost a third of all Covid deaths globally. According to the report, the global figure is 15 million – more than double the official figure of 6 million.

Mr. Arora said the report was “irrational and irreparable”, “In 2018, about 85-88% of deaths were insured. In 2020, 98-99% of deaths are insured. In 2018 and 2019, an additional 70,000 deaths occurred. Are we saying that all are Covid? Out of more than 4.6 million, 1.45 are reported deaths. . Those 30,000 deaths took place due to other reasons. Even if we say there were 40,000 more deaths, that still doesn’t match the WHO estimate.”

When asked if states might not be reporting deaths to the Center, Mr. Arora said, “There’s been a delay and you know after the Supreme Court ruling, every state is reporting about deaths that were previously missed, and now they’re part of the current system. overall. reported”.

“The other problem is if it’s that much then people should grovel us because the Indian definition of Covid is any death that happens within a month of being diagnosed as Covid. But. Nothing like that has happened yet. Relatives of 400,000 people have not come to claim compensation. So there are some inconsistencies in the WHO report,” he added.

Dr NK Arora said that WHO rejected India’s data and relied on its own statistical models, even though India has a reliable death registration system.

“There may be a lack of some deaths – 5-15 deaths because everything is not recorded, but the way WHO put us in Tier 2 countries where there is no data is not right,” he said. .

Countries classified as Tier 2 include countries for which WHO does not have access to adequate data and therefore requires the use of alternative data sources or the application of scaling factors to generate national synthesis.

“We have a strong system. The death toll is increasing. Even if we miss 10-15% of the deaths, there can’t be anything like the WHO has shown. The number of deaths. our deaths per million is very small. “In 2020, the magazines predict we will perish. They say it will take us 5 years to vaccinate our one billion population, but this is the case. proven wrong,” he added.

India has strongly denied that the World Health Organization used a mathematical model to calculate the number of Covid deaths, saying that “the number is completely removed from reality”. Claiming that the country has an “extremely robust” birth and death registration system, the Union Health Ministry, in its rebuttal, called the WHO data collection system “statistically unfounded”. and scientifically questionable”.

Leading medical experts in the country, ICMR Director General Balram Bhargava, NITI Member Aayog (Medical) VK Paul, AIIMS Director Randeep Guleria, also expressed disappointment at the “one-size-fits-all” approach. with all” of the global health authority character.

These kinds of assumptions “don’t want to put us in a dimly lit place,” says Dr. VK Paul.

Assuring the country that the government has nothing to hide, Dr Paul said there was still an active process to reconcile the Covid deaths.

“Our numbers are there and we have a strong system,” he said. So we don’t accept these numbers, we reject them.”

Dr Balram Bhargava said there is no definition of Covid death.

Dr. Randeep Guleria commented against the WHO report, “I will give 3 main reasons for that. One is that India has a very strong birth and death registration system and that data. WHO did not use that data The second important issue is that the data WHO uses is more evidence of hearing or what has been in the media or from unconfirmed sources The data itself is questionable. Modeling on that data is imprecise and scientifically incorrect, especially when you have the data,” he said.

Another issue is that India has been very liberal in providing compensation to those who have died of COVID-19 and that has been done in a very open manner, Dr. Guleria said.

With input from ANI

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