Case kept for each seven-year epoch with Patriots and Bucs
We used ESPN Sports Analytics’ Hall of Fame forecasting model to estimate the chances that each of Brady’s three epochs would be worth keeping.
The model was trained using the statistical records of other qualified quarterbacks in the modern era and whether they were selected for the Hall. Selected stats are the ones we found to be the most predictive in terms of picks, including: term years, total wins, total yardsticks, yards per attempt , All-Pro picks, Pro Bowl picks, Super Bowl appearances and wins, and Super Bowl MVP awards. Stats for passes and total wins have been adjusted for the era.
The model correctly predicted 23 out of 24 modern-day QB populations, with only Ken Stabler’s incorrect prediction.