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China’s economy still fragile despite consumer bright spots: Fitch



Fitch Ratings has noted a visible shift towards service-oriented sectors in China during the Chinese New Year holiday week, indicating changing consumer preferences. Despite some positive rating actions among corporates in select consumer sectors, the broader economic climate remains daunting. The prevalence of Negative Outlook or Rating Watch Negative ratings continues to exceed their positive counterparts, underscoring persistent challenges in the Chinese economy.

In February, Fitch Ratings undertook more positive rating actions on Chinese issuers in the International Public Finance portfolio, driven by reassessments of several local government-related entities’ credit profiles under our updated government-related entities rating criteria. These largely reflected higher support score assessments.

The fragility of the economic recovery was signalled in February by the authorities’ stepped-up support for the economy and housing market via an unusually large 25bp reduction in the five-year loan prime rate, a benchmark interest rate that commercial banks use for long-term lending. We expect the rate cut to squeeze net profit at banks, while delivering a minor boost to economic activity. The rate cut reinforces a widening trend between the onshore and offshore spreads, which will keep Chinese issuers’ offshore borrowing at a low level, Fitch said in a press release.

Fitch Ratings observes a shift towards service sectors in China amid Chinese New Year, reflecting evolving consumer preferences.
Despite positive rating actions in some consumer sectors, the economic outlook remains challenging, with more negative than positive ratings.
In February, Fitch upgraded ratings for Chinese issuers in International Public Finance.

Tepid external demand, slower manufacturing and disruptions from the Red Sea conflict are likely to slow cargo and container throughput growth for Chinese port operators. Nevertheless, the operators will benefit from a cushioning effect from the volume via the New Western Land-Sea Corridor, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, China-Europe Railway and sea-river transport and still see throughput growth this year.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (RR)


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