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IMF cuts Bangladesh’s GDP growth estimate again



The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has once again revised down its growth forecast for the Bangladesh economy for the ongoing financial year, citing persistent local and global challenges, especially inflationary force increases.

According to the IMF's latest World Economic Outlook, the economy is forecast to grow 5.7% in 2023-24, down from the previous forecast of 6% in October.

The IMF said the economy will grow 5.7% in 2023-24, lower than the 6% forecast in October. The initial GDP forecast was 6.5%. The IMF said in its forecast that GDP growth will rebound to 6.6% in 2024-25. The IMF forecasts that the world economy will grow by 3.2% this year, an increase of 0.1 percentage point compared to the previous forecast.

Initially, the GDP forecast was at 6.5%.

Despite this downward revision, the IMF predicts GDP growth will recover to 6.6% in 2024-25. However, the IMF's revision for the current financial year comes against the backdrop of an improved global economic outlook for 2024, despite maintaining a weak medium-term forecast.

Globally, the IMF expects growth of 3.2% this year, slightly higher than the previous January forecast, with similar growth expected for 2025.

Meanwhile, recent data from the state-run Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics showed economic growth slowing significantly, with growth halving to 3.78% in the quarter from October. to December FY 2024. The decline is attributed to a sharp decline in manufacturing output growth due to weak domestic consumption.

In response to these challenges, the government revised its growth forecast to 6.75% earlier this month, down from the initial target of 7.5% set at the start of the fiscal year in July. .

Additionally, the World Bank forecasts Bangladesh's real GDP growth will remain relatively slow at 5.6% in FY24, compared to the pre-pandemic average of 6.6%.

Among South Asian countries, the IMF forecasts varying GDP growth rates, with India leading at 6.8%, followed by Pakistan 2%, Maldives 5.2%, Bhutan 4.3% and Nepal 3.1%.

Fiber2 Fashion News Desk (DR)

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