NFL week 14 betting on nuggets

Week 14 featured some big-name midfielders getting points. Lamar Jackson looking forward to a sixth straight win in the regular season as a Cleveland underdog. Josh Allen finding his sixth consecutive cover and fourth straight win as an underdog.

Arguably the two biggest games of the week have Tampa Bay Buccaneers organization Buffalo Bills and The Arizona Cardinals organization Los Angeles Rams. This is only the second time this season that the Bills and Rams have been beaten. Both won by double the only other time they were underrated. The Bills and Rams hope to continue the trend of bot lanes that dominated games this season. Street dogs are making up 59.8%, the highest rate in the Super Bowl era. As of Thursday morning, 10 teams were installed as bot lane controllers.

Seasonal stats

Favorite: 8-6 ATS last week (85-106-1 ATS this season)

Road team: 8-6 ATS last week (109-84-1 ATS this season)

Down here: 9-5 (109-83-2 this season)

Best ATS record: Green Bay (10-2), Arizona (9-3), Dallas (9-3)

Worst ATS record: New York Jets (3-9), Jacksonville (4-8), Chicago (4-8)

Priority teams in every match: Kansas City, Tampa . Bay

Weaker team in every match: Detroit, New York Jets

Dallas Cowboys (-4) at Washington Football Team, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

• Dallas is the 9-3 ATS this season, including the 5-1 ATS on the road. Dallas is 1-2 ATS in the last three games and 2-3 ATS in the last five after starting 7-0 ATS.

• Dallas is 7-0 ATS in conference games this season.

• Washington won and has 4 straight games after starting the season with 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS.

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at the New York Jets, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

• New York is the worst league with 3-9 ATS this season.

• New Orleans is 0-5 ATS against teams with a losing record and 1-4 ATS is the preferred team. New Orleans is 0-4 ATS and 1-3 SU are the favorites of at least three points this season.

• Both teams are leading ATS 1-4 in their last five games.

Jacksonville Jaguars in Tennessee Titans (-10), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

• Tennessee is 3-0 ATS after goodbye under Mike Vrabel, and is 5-0-1 ATS after goodbye since 2015.

• Both teams have lost three matches in a row.

• Tennessee has been a double-digit favorite once this season. It lost to Houston in Week 11 as the home team with 10 points.

Atlanta Falcons in Carolina Panthers (-3), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

• Over the past five seasons, Orange Newton is 10-18 ATS as a favorite (14-14 SU). Each of the last seven times he’s been favored as the starting quarterback of Carolina, Carolina has lost outright (0-2 this season).

• Carolina is 2-7 ATS in the last nine games after starting 3-0 ATS.

• Carolina has lost four straight home games and has lost four in a row as a favorite. Carolina is 1-5 ATS is a home favorite this season.

• Atlanta’s last four matches had a total score below the odds.

• Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in the last five road games.

• Fourteen of the last 17 meetings took place in total.

Baltimore Raven in Cleveland Browns (-2), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

• Baltimore has included four consecutive meetings.

• Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in the last seven games (0-3 ATS in the last three).

• Baltimore’s four consecutive games have a total score below the muscle.

• Lamar Jackson won 8-1 ATS and 7-2 as an underdog in the regular season with five straight wins. Baltimore is completely defeated 2-0 this season.

• The hosts have a 6-13 under-goal scoring ratio and ATS this season.

Seattle Seahawks Football Team (-7.5) at Houston Texas, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET

• Seattle’s games this season are 9-2-1, including 5-0-1 in the second leg.

• Houston’s last four matches have total goals under the odds.

• Seattle is 2-4 outright and the ATS are the favorites this season (1-4 in the last five games). Seattle is 1-7 ATS in the last eight as the favorites from last season (1-2 ATS this season).

• Seattle is the second team in the Super Bowl era to have at least 7 favorites in a game in December despite having a win rate of 0.333 or less. The other is Pittsburgh (3-8-1) in 1966, 7 points ahead of the New York Giants.

Giants in New York in Los Angeles charger (-10), Sunday at 4:05 ET

• Justin Herbert has never been a double digit favorite. Herbert is 3-7 ATS in favor with at least three points.

• New York has gone three games in a row after losing.

• Joe Judge is being beaten 9-4 ATS as a bot lane but has only won 1-3 ATS in his last four games in that position.

• New York’s most recent totals had lower totals.

Detroit Lion in Dancer broncos (-8), Sunday at 4:05 ET

• Detroit is 8-4 ATS this season despite a 1-10-1 winning streak. Detroit is 7-1 ATS on at least four points with six straight wraps.

• Detroit has included four straight line games and it has included four straight line games.

• In the previous 15 seasons, teams had their first win of the season 12-4 ATS in their next game in Week 10 or later. Two of the last three teams in that position won the following game outright as the underdogs by at least 6.5 points (New York Jets 2020, Miami 2019).

• The scoreline was 6-0 when Denver included games this season.

• Denver is leading ATS 3-0 when being handicapped by Vic Fangio at least 6 points (2-0 ATS this season).

San Francisco 49ers (-1) at Cincinnati Bengals, Sunday at 4:25 ET

• Jimmy Garoppolo is 11-3 ATS and 10-4 SU as an underdog team in the regular season. He won 9-1 and 6-4 at the ATS being a trailblazer, but the only outright loss came last week in Seattle.

• Cincinnati won 3-2 on aggregate and ATS are the underdogs this season.

• San Francisco is 1-4 ATS this season against teams with a winning record.

• Five of Cincinnati’s last six games have been explosive.

• Joe Burrow was 8-2 ATS in his career after one loss.

Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5), Sunday at 4:25 ET

• Josh Allen is 18-8-1 ATS in the regular season road game.

• Tampa Bay has covered four straight games as the home favorite (4-1 ATS this season is the home favorite).

• Tom Brady is 21-6-1 ATS in regular-season home games when not scoring at least four points. Brady is 9-5-1 ATS as a home favorite by 3.5 points or less.

• Tom Brady was 21-12-1 ATS in his career against Buffalo. He has never been four points behind Buffalo at home (18th meeting at home, first outside of New England).

Chicago Bears in Green Bay Packers (-12.5), Sunday at 8:20 ET

• Green Bay is the first double-digit favorite in this season’s Sunday Night game. The double-digit favorites are the 2-6 ATS in the Sunday Night game over the past 10 seasons and the 7-15 ATS over the past 20 seasons.

• Green Bay is 10-2 ATS this season, the best difference in the league, including a 5-0 ATS at home.

• Green Bay has covered all five meetings since 2019 and was 20-7 ATS ahead of Chicago in Aaron Rodgers start (including knockout). Rodgers has never been in favor of 12.5 points over Chicago, and he is trailing ATS 1-3 (2-2 SU) having placed at least nine points ahead of Chicago.

• The biggest spread on this series over the past 20 seasons is 12.5 (Green Bay won 12.5 in 2011; won 14). Before that, Green Bay was 13 points more popular than Chicago in 1998 (won 6).

• Chicago is 1-6 ATS in the last seven games.

Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5), Monday at 8:15 ET on ESPN

• Arizona is 9-3 ATS this season, including 4-0 ATS in division games.

• Los Angeles was 8-1 ATS against Arizona under Sean McVay. However, Arizona’s only cover came in Week 4 of this season when the Cardinals let down the Rams 37-20.

• Los Angeles has failed in its last three road matches.

• Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS against teams with a winning record this season.

• Sean McVay lost 7-6 ATS as the weakest team of the season, including a win over Tampa Bay in their only underdog position this season. The score is 11-2 when McVay’s team is the bottom team.

• The hosts have a 6-13 under-goal scoring ratio and ATS this season.