IBHOF bookmaker and gambling expert Graham Houston looks for betting value in tonight’s clash between rising star Conor Benn and former world champion Chris Algieri.
It’s a completely overlapping Saturday, with one giant boxing odds to consider when 2021 ends. But for England fans, the big event is in Liverpool, with Conor Benn, an undefeated weightlifter looking to advance his career and as well as improve his education in match 12. round against skilled and seasoned former 140lbs champion Chris Algieri, from Long Island. , New York.
Benn is 1/7 (-700) favorite at Betfred. He is facing his toughest test yet. Although Algieri is 37 years old, he still looks extremely fit. And in his final game, Algieri looked fresh and sharp as he won a decisive defeat against helpful Mikkel St Pierre. If you feel that Algieri is a bridge too far from Benn, you will no doubt get a 9/2 (+450) result for the American guest.
This is the classic youth vs experience fighting style. Benn is agile, aggressive and has great hand speed. He has shown rapid progress. And at 25, he’s 12 years younger. Algieri played the full 12 rounds against Manny Pacquiao and Amir Khan but it’s been seven years since he claimed his biggest win by coming back from two knocks in the first round and overcoming a swollen eye. heavyweight to beat heavyweight Ruslan Provodnikov.
We get to see Benn join the fight with Algieri from the very beginning. Algieri will find a way to make his stab work and he will try to get Benn to get sharp counter punches. Algeria is about to win. This would suit Benn, who was frustrated by Adrian Granados’ constant retreat in his final game. Algieri is gritty, capable and persistent. The formidable Errol Spence Jr is the only warrior who can stop him. There’s no shame because Spence is one of the best boxers in the world in every weight class. But Algieri lost six times to Pacquiao, and the younger Tommy Coyle hit him with a right in their fight in 2019. Will Benn’s quick pressure affect the older man? Twelve rounds is a long way to go against a relentless belligerent like Benn.
If you feel that Benn will catch up with Algieri, you are looking at odds of 8/13 (-160) for the KO TKO DQ proposition. Benn to win by decision given at 2/1 (+200).
It seems that Algieri’s path to victory is to keep boxing, moving, causing Benn to miss and dealing him with quick jabs and punches. If you think Algieri can succeed by opening the box for Benn, you may be enticed by the odds 8/1 (+800) for the older to win by decision/technical decision.
However, Algieri suffered some eye damage during his fight with Tommy Coyle, and he certainly couldn’t have done it himself. So, if Algieri cut his job compared to Coyle two and a half years ago – and he sees no progress in the interim – how will he stop a Benn that is firing?
I’m thinking about a late stoppage-time win for Benn. In the group stage markets, Benn to win in round 7-12 has a pretty comfortable ticket price of 21/10 (+210). It would be a sensational performance from Benn if he can overwhelm Algieri for six innings. If time stops, it will come in the second half of the round.
There are meaningful matches in Russia, Dubai, New York and Los Angeles tonight and run into the early hours of Sunday morning. I would be a bit surprised if all the favorites passed.
Long-term bet on the weekend? Taking the opportunity to give Dominican Norbelto Jimenez a shock against the Filipino fourth-weight world champion, Donnie Nietes may not be as crazy as it sounds. Nietes was the clear favorite in this 115-pound WBA 12-round knockout in the Dubai game. But Nietes turns 40 in five months, and that’s really the age of a boxer in the lighter weight classes.
Jimenez, 30, is quick and flashy. Khalid Yafai clearly singled him out in Jimenez’s only loss in the past decade, but Yafai delivers physical prowess and pressure, while Nietes is a craft that relies on skill and intelligence. A motivated Jimenez, a man nine years younger, can use speed and hustle to steal decisions over aging Southeast Asia. Betfred offers Jimenez at 6/1 (+600). I think Nietes looks pretty good but sometimes these older boxers suddenly can’t pull the trigger once the first bell rings. Sure, Nietes is likely the winner, but a stab at Jimenez with attractive odds is something to consider.
And I think that Cody Crowley, the undefeated Canadian welterweight, had a good shot to equalize the sadness against Uzbekistan’s Kudratillo Abdukakhorov, who is also undefeated, in the big game in Los Angeles. I consider this a war that can go either way. Abdukakhorov is certainly capable, but I can see Crowley working past him for a close victory. Crowley has a ragged physique and he fights at a fast pace. He moved to Las Vegas to further his career and I believe he has been in many rounds with Floyd Mayweather. Crowley is given at 7/2 (+350) for those who feel like diving in.
Main image: Mark Robinson / Matchroom Boxing.
