IBHOF inductee and boxing playing knowledgeable Graham Houston weighs up the betting worth in Saturday’s motion pitting Child Galahad vs Kiko Martinez, Jaime Munguia vs Gabriel Rosado and Terri Harper vs Alycia Baumgardner.
Two massive reveals tonight, with Child Galahad defending his featherweight title towards Kiko Martinez in Sheffield whereas throughout the pond middleweight contender Jaime Munguia places his unbeaten file on the road towards veteran Gabriel Rosado.
Galahad is a big favorite over Martinez in a struggle billed as Child vs Kiko. The percentages are comprehensible. Galahad has appeared dominant in his final two fights after dropping a break up choice to Josh Warrington. It’s virtually as if Galahad desires to take fights out of the judges’ fingers by profitable each spherical with out argument. Not surprisingly Galahad is a 1/20 (-2000) favorite.
Nobody desires to put these form of odds, though Galahad is predicted to win. Kiko all the time seems to be in super situation and he can punch. However Kiko is 35 and there’s a number of ring mileage on him. He’s been stopped 4 occasions.
Kiko revitalised his profession along with his gutsy dropping effort towards prospect Zelfa Barrett, a struggle that many thought the way more seasoned Spanish fighter deserved to win. He took the struggle to Barrett all through and had success with strain and what appeared a lot the heavier blows.
That was a terrific efficiency by Kiko though he didn’t get the choice. However was he a little bit bit flattered by the Barrett struggle? Barrett couldn’t hold Kiko off him and was getting bullied and harried in nearly each spherical. It’s not going to be really easy to bully Galahad.
I believed Galahad reached a brand new stage when he stopped the succesful Claudio Marrero in eight rounds. And in his final struggle, Galahad systematically broke down the sport however outgunned Jazza Dickens earlier than the one-sided beatdown was mercifully stopped with a spherical remaining.
Galahad isn’t the kind of boxer who ends issues with one punch however he’s excellent at chipping away in a scientific method and regularly eroding the opposite man’s resistance. Kiko would possibly very nicely come storming in when the primary bell sounds, and he would possibly land some photographs, however Galahad is more likely to meet him with sharp counter punches. And if Galahad can sluggish Kiko down, he can begin teeing off on him.
The oddsmakers anticipate a Galahad stoppage win. The KO TKO proposition is priced at 1/3 (-300) at Betfred. Nonetheless, I’m not anticipating a blowout. The final time Kiko misplaced inside the gap was when Gary Russell Jr halted him in 5 rounds in Brooklyn two years in the past. A reduce over Kiko’s eye brought about the stoppage, however Martinez was by no means off his ft. So I’m considering that it would take Galahad some rounds to put on Kiko down.
Can Kiko go the complete route? For those who suppose this does certainly go all 12 rounds, Galahad to win by choice may be interesting. The Galahad decision prop is offered at 3/1 (+300) at Betfred.
Combat to go the gap is priced at round 5/2 (+250) and struggle to not go the complete 12 rounds is obtainable at 2/7 (-350).
I’m considering on the traces of Galahad by TKO in about eight or 9 rounds. This can be a residence struggle for Galahad in Sheffield and I believe he will probably be trying to impress — and meaning getting the job accomplished contained in the restrict.
If the stoppage comes I believe it is going to be late within the bout reasonably than early, so Galahad to win in rounds 7-12 at a basic worth of 13/8 (+160) won’t be the worst concept on the earth. If Galahad managed to get Kiko out of there inside six rounds I’d think about it a particular kind of exhibiting.
Over on the US West Coast, within the Los Angeles suburb of Anaheim, Jaime Munguia is a whopping favorite to defeat Gabriel Rosado. Betfred provides Munguia at 1/8 (-800). For those who suppose Rosado can spring one of many yr’s main surprises, you may choose up the outdated professional from Philadelphia at odds of 11/2 (+550).
Nonetheless, it actually could be a shock if Rosado derailed the Munguia prepare. Though Rosado can field and punch, he turns 36 in a few months and has been in a number of robust fights. Whereas Rosado pulled off a shocking consequence by knocking out Bektemir Melikuziev in his final struggle it was considerably deceptive. Melikuziev dropped Rosado within the first spherical and principally forgot all about defence after that. Rosado timed him for a proper hand from the boxing gods. It was certainly the most effective proper hand Rosado has ever thrown. Might Rosado land that form of proper hand tonight for a second successive one-punch KO? It hardly appears seemingly.
If Rosado goes to win this struggle he’s going to should discover a stage of efficiency that I believe is past him. Rosado has misplaced 14 fights in a 41-bout profession (though one defeat was modified to a no choice as a result of his opponent failing the post-fight medication take a look at, thus making an official whole of 13 losses).
We’ve seen Rosado busted up, knocked down and stopped. He’s having fun with one thing of a late-career revival, dropping by break up choice to Daniel Jacobs and starching Melikuziev, and nobody might begrudge him his alternative, however tonight’s struggle seems to be a bridge too far.
Munguia is considerably hittable however I see him as a lot improved from the fighter who barely scraped a call towards Dennis Hogan on residence floor in Mexico. That struggle was virtually three years in the past. Mexican nice Erik Morales, now a coach, has accomplished good work in bettering Munguia’s boxing capability. In his final struggle, Munguia appeared relaxed and confirmed a superb number of punches in halting the prepared however outclassed Kamil Szeremeta in six rounds. He’s a giant, robust 160-pounder and he’s a decade youthful than Rosado.
I do perceive why individuals would take a stab on the massive odds obtainable on Rosado. Additionally, I believe the sentimentalist in many people want to see the outdated warrior pull it off. However the most probably end result is that Munguia merely grinds Rosado down.
The Munguia KO TKO proposition is offered at 4/6 (-150) at Betfred. That’s an affordable worth. Some markets have an over/beneath of 9.5 rounds with the beneath priced at (-110). I believe the “beneath 9.5” rounds may need worth.
Rosado appeared all enterprise on the weigh-in, proudly bearing the Puerto Rican flag (a nod to Gabe’s delight in his ancestry). Munguia followers will probably be chanting “Mexico!” when the battle commences. I get the sensation that Rosado will probably be trying to put it on Munguia from the beginning and I can see the competition creating right into a battle of attrition. Somebody, I consider, goes to get stopped, in all probability Rosado. Distance “No” is priced at 1/2 (-200) at Betfred. That’s fairly an excellent look in the event you don’t thoughts laying the value.
UNDERDOG PLAY: I fairly like the thought of Detroit’s Alycia Baumgardner upsetting the percentages towards Terri Harper of their girls’s 130lbs title bout on the Sheffield present. I actually like Yorkshire’s robust and proficient Harper however I’m impressed with what I’ve seen of Baumgardner, who throws heavy photographs with good type. Sturdy and muscular (she wrestled earlier than turning to boxing), Baumgardner is aware of how one can struggle and radiates what I consider is real confidence. Her promoter, Marshall Kauffman, has made the journey from the US to again his fighter. That’s all the time an excellent signal. In fact, it’s fairly attainable Harper will outspeed and out-volume Baumgardner however I don’t suppose it’s the worst concept on the earth to place one thing on the visiting fighter. Betfred offers Baumgardner at 7/2 (+350). Just a little sprinkle on the draw at 18/1 (+1800) is all the time advisable as a “simply in case” wager.
Foremost picture: Mark Robinson/Matchroom Boxing.
